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Campo	Valor
FMT	AN
Leader	naa 22 450
RecordID	000048129
ISBN	978-92-79-19317-0
Dados Gerais Proc.	20120203d2011----k--y0pory0103----ba
Língua	inglês
País Publicação	União Europeia
Título	European Economic Forecast : Autumn 2011 : Commission staff working document / Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs ; Marco Buti
Publicação	Luxembourg : Publications Office, 2011
Colecção
Colecção
Tipo de Documento	Fascículo
Tipo de Documento	Documento eletrónico
Resumo	The European Commission publishes comprehensive macroeconomic forecasts twice-yearly in the spring and autumn. In this economic forecast published on 10 November 2011, the European Commission presents its assessment of the economic prospects for the EU and the euro area at the aggregate level. It also analyses developments in all individual Member States, as well as Candidate Countries and the economies of the US, Japan, China, Russia and the EFTA. A special chapter is dedicated to developments in EU labour markets. Since the last fully-fledged forecast in May 2011, the outlook for the EU and the euro area has deteriorated. The protracted sovereign-debt crisis has taken its toll on confidence affecting investment and consumption. A worsening external economic environment has stalled exports, and the necessary fiscal consolidation is simultaneously restraining domestic demand. These trends are expected to hold for several quarters, tilting growth prospects as well as the outlook for labour market developments to the downside. The first signs of improvements for GDP are projected for the second half of 2012; however, this recovery is expected to have a very limited impact on job creation. Over the forecast period, inflation is projected to return to below 2%. Under the no-policy-change assumption, government deficits are set to decline to just above 3% of GDP by 2013. [editor]
Indice	Overview PART I: Economic developments at the aggregated level 1. The EU economy: A recovery in distress 1.1. Overview 1.2. Putting the forecast into perspective 1.3. The external environment 1.4. Financial markets in Europe 1.5. The EU economy 1.6. Risks 2. Post-recession labour market patterns in the EU 2.1. Introduction 2.2. Setting the scene: Employment prospects and unemployment developments 2.3. Factors driving labour market developments 2.4. Has the labour matching process deteriorated? 2.5. Trend and determinants of structural unemployment in the aftermath of the recession 2.6. Overall assessment PART II: Prospects by individual economy Member States 1. Belgium: Growth slowdown amidst weaker global growth and new bank worries 2. Bulgaria: Moderate growth amid rising uncertainty 3. The Czech Republic: Soft patch in 2012 followed by moderate recovery 4. Denmark: A modest recovery 5. Germany: Growth momentum temporarily halted by uncertainty 6. Estonia: Reviving domestic demand is balancing growth 7. Ireland: Export-driven recovery weighed by continuing household deleveraging and fiscal consolidation 8. Greece: Painful adjustment 9. Spain: Unwinding imbalances in a weakening external environment 10. France: Domestic growth weakened by global risks and declining confidence 11. Italy: Subdued growth ahead 12. Cyprus: Subdued growth prospects while fiscal challenges persist 13. Latvia: Growth exceeds expectations in 2011 but outlook for 2012 worsens 14. Lithuania: Strong recovery to dampen in line with global trends 15. Luxembourg: Uncertain times ahead for a large financial centre 16. Hungary: Bumpy ride ahead 17. Malta: Global uncertainty hits domestic demand 18. The Netherlands: Moderate growth hinging on external demand 19. Austria: Recovery losing pace 20. Poland: Progressing despite adverse global economic conditions
Indice	21. Portugal: Strong fiscal consolidation efforts in a challenging environment 22. Romania: Recovery to continue despite worsening external environment 23. Slovenia: Prospects depend on stabilisation of construction 24. Slovakia: Growth slowdown ahead 25. Finland: Economic recovery slowing but public finances stable 26. Sweden: Growth to decelerate amid rising uncertainty 27. The United Kingdom: The pause in growth risks becoming prolonged Candidate Countries 28. Croatia: Subdued economic activity in the near term 29. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Catching up, albeit with question marks ... 30. Iceland: Uncertainties persist amid a tentative recovery 31. Montenegro: A dilemma of growth and sluggish credit 32. Turkey: Riding the tides of the slowdown Other non-EU Countries 33. The United States of America: Slowing growth amid greater uncertainty and fiscal consolidation 34. Japan: Strong rebound in the short run but fading prospects 35. China: Growth is slowing down 36. EFTA: The outlook deteriorates 37. Russian Federation: The recovery stutters Statistical Annex
Conjunto	European Economy Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Nº 6 (2011) vii, 236 p. 0379-0991 PP1606/6
Top.Sub.	previsão económica
Top.Sub.	estatística do emprego
Top.Sub.	estatística da UE
Top.Sub.	estatísticas económicas
Top.Sub.	conjuntura económica
Top.Sub.	crescimento económico
Top.Sub.	indicador económico
Top.Sub.	análise económica
Top.Sub.	economia
Top.Sub.	Estado-Membro UE
Top.Sub.	recessão económica
Classificação Tem	1621 estrutura económica eurovoc
Nome Autor	Buti, Marco, Autor da apresentação
Colectividade	European Union. European Commission. Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs
Origem	PT CIEJD 20120203 RPC
Texto Integral	http://www.infoeuropa.eurocid.pt/files/database/000048001-000049000/000048129.Ficheiro PDF (Portable Document Format) 3792223 Versão digital Ficheiro PDF (Portable Document Format) Não
Idt Obj Digital	10.2765/15525
Proprietário	CIEJD
NRC	KC-AR-11-006-EN-C
EST	REVISTO
SBL	CIEJD
Localização	CIEJD PP1606/6 ISSUE
STS	02
TYP	Analitico
HOR00	20120203 1422
Catalogador inicial	CSANTOS
NºSistema	000048129
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