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Campo Valor
FMT AN
LDR      naa  22        450
001 |1 000048129
010 |a 978-92-79-19317-0
100 |a 20120203d2011----k--y0pory0103----ba
1010 |a inglês
102 |a União Europeia
2001 |a European Economic Forecast |e Autumn <<2011= 2011>> |e Commission staff working document |f Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs |g Marco Buti
210 |a Luxembourg |c Publications Office |d 2011
2250 |a European Economy |d previsões económicas |i economic forecasts
2252 |a European Economy |v 6 (2011) |x 0379-0991
3071 |a Fascículo
3071 |a Documento eletrónico
330 |a The European Commission publishes comprehensive macroeconomic forecasts twice-yearly in the spring and autumn. In this economic forecast published on 10 November 2011, the European Commission presents its assessment of the economic prospects for the EU and the euro area at the aggregate level. It also analyses developments in all individual Member States, as well as Candidate Countries and the economies of the US, Japan, China, Russia and the EFTA. A special chapter is dedicated to developments in EU labour markets.
Since the last fully-fledged forecast in May 2011, the outlook for the EU and the euro area has deteriorated. The protracted sovereign-debt crisis has taken its toll on confidence affecting investment and consumption. A worsening external economic environment has stalled exports, and the necessary fiscal consolidation is simultaneously restraining domestic demand.
These trends are expected to hold for several quarters, tilting growth prospects as well as the outlook for labour market developments to the downside. The first signs of improvements for GDP are projected for the second half of 2012; however, this recovery is expected to have a very limited impact on job creation.
Over the forecast period, inflation is projected to return to below 2%. Under the no-policy-change assumption, government deficits are set to decline to just above 3% of GDP by 2013. [editor]
3302 |a Overview
PART I: Economic developments at the aggregated level
1. The EU economy: A recovery in distress
1.1. Overview
1.2. Putting the forecast into perspective
1.3. The external environment
1.4. Financial markets in Europe
1.5. The EU economy
1.6. Risks
2. Post-recession labour market patterns in the EU
2.1. Introduction
2.2. Setting the scene: Employment prospects and unemployment developments
2.3. Factors driving labour market developments
2.4. Has the labour matching process deteriorated?
2.5. Trend and determinants of structural unemployment in the aftermath of the recession
2.6. Overall assessment
PART II: Prospects by individual economy
Member States
1. Belgium: Growth slowdown amidst weaker global growth and new bank worries
2. Bulgaria: Moderate growth amid rising uncertainty
3. The Czech Republic: Soft patch in 2012 followed by moderate recovery
4. Denmark: A modest recovery
5. Germany: Growth momentum temporarily halted by uncertainty
6. Estonia: Reviving domestic demand is balancing growth
7. Ireland: Export-driven recovery weighed by continuing household deleveraging and fiscal consolidation
8. Greece: Painful adjustment
9. Spain: Unwinding imbalances in a weakening external environment
10. France: Domestic growth weakened by global risks and declining confidence
11. Italy: Subdued growth ahead
12. Cyprus: Subdued growth prospects while fiscal challenges persist
13. Latvia: Growth exceeds expectations in 2011 but outlook for 2012 worsens
14. Lithuania: Strong recovery to dampen in line with global trends
15. Luxembourg: Uncertain times ahead for a large financial centre
16. Hungary: Bumpy ride ahead
17. Malta: Global uncertainty hits domestic demand
18. The Netherlands: Moderate growth hinging on external demand
19. Austria: Recovery losing pace
20. Poland: Progressing despite adverse global economic conditions
3302 |a 21. Portugal: Strong fiscal consolidation efforts in a challenging environment
22. Romania: Recovery to continue despite worsening external environment
23. Slovenia: Prospects depend on stabilisation of construction
24. Slovakia: Growth slowdown ahead
25. Finland: Economic recovery slowing but public finances stable
26. Sweden: Growth to decelerate amid rising uncertainty
27. The United Kingdom: The pause in growth risks becoming prolonged Candidate Countries
28. Croatia: Subdued economic activity in the near term
29. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Catching up, albeit with question marks ...
30. Iceland: Uncertainties persist amid a tentative recovery
31. Montenegro: A dilemma of growth and sluggish credit
32. Turkey: Riding the tides of the slowdown
Other non-EU Countries
33. The United States of America: Slowing growth amid greater uncertainty and fiscal consolidation
34. Japan: Strong rebound in the short run but fading prospects
35. China: Growth is slowing down
36. EFTA: The outlook deteriorates
37. Russian Federation: The recovery stutters
Statistical Annex
461 1 |1 001000043848 |t European Economy |a Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs |v Nº 6 (2011) |p vii, 236 p. |x 0379-0991 |z PP1606/6
606 |a previsão económica |9 por
606 |a estatística do emprego |9 por
606 |a estatística da UE |9 por
606 |a estatísticas económicas |9 por
606 |a conjuntura económica |9 por
606 |a crescimento económico |9 por
606 |a indicador económico |9 por
606 |a análise económica |9 por
606 |a economia |9 por
606 |a Estado-Membro UE |9 por
606 |a recessão económica |9 por
686 |a 1621 estrutura económica |d eurovoc
702 1 |a Buti |b Marco |4 Autor da apresentação
71002 |a European Union |b European Commission |b Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs |8 eng
801 0 |a PT |b CIEJD |c 20120203 |g RPC
85604 |u http://www.infoeuropa.eurocid.pt/files/database/000048001-000049000/000048129.Ficheiro PDF (Portable Document Format) |x 3792223 |z Versão digital |9 Ficheiro PDF (Portable Document Format) |4 Não
DOI |a 10.2765/15525
OWN |a CIEJD
NRC |a KC-AR-11-006-EN-C
EST |a REVISTO
SBL |a CIEJD
LOC |b CIEJD |h PP1606/6 |o ISSUE
STS |a 02
HOR00 |c 20120203 |h 1422
CTI |a CSANTOS
SYS 000048129
Código QR Código QR referente ao registo nº000048129


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